长输油气管道单体泥石流灾害风险评价研究

Research on risk assessment of single debris-flow disasters for long-distance oil and gas pipelines

  • 摘要: 泥石流灾害是影响山区长输油气管道安全运行的主要地质灾害之一。近年来,泥石流、滑坡等管道地质灾害频发,长输油气管道的安全与减灾也愈受到关注。评价某一泥石流灾害对长输油气管道的风险,从单体泥石流发生可能性、泥石流对管道构成危害的大小、灾害发生后因管道泄漏对周围环境的影响共三方面因素出发,构建了15个泥石流易发性评价量化因子及高、中、低三个等级的管道易损性和环境影响评价指标,进一步形成了单体泥石流对管道的风险评价体系。并以川气东送马口河隧道进口处泥石流为例,评价了该泥石流对燃气管道的风险等级,可为管道安全运营、灾害防治提供重要决策依据。

     

    Abstract: Debris-flow disasters are a major geohazard impacting the safe operation of long-distance oil and gas pipelines in mountainous regions. In recent years, frequent debris flows and landslides along pipelines have heightened concerns about pipeline safety and disaster mitigation. To assess the risk posed by a single debris flow, 15 quantitative factors for evaluating debris-flow susceptibility, along with pipeline vulnerability and environmental impact assessment indicators categorized into high, medium, and low levels, were established based on the likelihood of occurrence, potential pipeline damage, and environmental consequences from post-disaster leakage. A corresponding risk assessment system was then developed. Taking the debris flow at the entrance of the Makouhe Tunnel on the Sichuan-to-East Gas Transmission Pipeline as a case study, the risk level was evaluated to support informed decision-making for pipeline safety and disaster prevention.

     

/

返回文章
返回