清管器意外飞出伤人事故风险分析

Risk analysis of injuries caused by accidental ejection of pipeline pigs

  • 摘要: 为系统预防清管作业中清管器意外飞出伤人事故,以2018年某海外项目原油管道与2025年国内某天然气管道两起典型清管作业事故为切入点,深入剖析压力泄放不彻底这一事故共性致因,采用故障树分析(Fault Tree Analysis,FTA)方法,构建以“清管器意外飞出伤人”为顶事件的故障树模型,识别出17个基本事件,通过定性分析求得40个最小割集,明确事故发生的多组潜在路径;经结构重要度排序,发现“无法判断清管器位置”与“人员正对球筒操作”为贯穿所有事故路径的最关键因素。以西气东输二线张掖压气站为例开展定量分析,计算得到顶事件发生概率为1.7 × 10-3。分析表明,清管器驱动皮碗偏磨(概率值为0.31)、过盈量偏大(概率值为0.23)及内漏未排查(概率值为0.23)是引发压力泄放不彻底的主要根源。基于分析结果,从设计建设、运营维护、规范作业、应急体系及技术革新5个维度提出具体可行的风险管控措施,并阐述应力应变监测、激光测距两项创新技术的现场应用效果。研究成果为油气管道清管作业的风险防控提供了可直接借鉴的实践方案。

     

    Abstract: To systematically prevent injuries caused by accidental pig ejection during pigging operations, this study examines two typical accidents: a crude oil pipeline incident in an overseas project (2018) and a natural gas pipeline accident in China (2025). Both cases revealed a common cause-incomplete pressure relief. A fault tree model was developed using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) method, with"injury due to accidental pig ejection"as the top event. Seventeen basic events were identified, and 40 minimal cut sets were derived through qualitative analysis, clarifying multiple potential accident pathways. Structural importance ranking highlighted two critical factors permeating all accident pathways: inability to determine pig position(X16) and personnel operating directly in front of the pig launcher/receiver(X17). Using the Zhangye Compressor Station of the Second West-East Gas Pipeline as a case study, quantitative analysis calculated the top event probability at 1.7×10-3. Results indicated that eccentric wear of pig driving cups (0.31), excessive interference fit (0.23), and unchecked internal leakage (0.23) were primary causes of incomplete pressure relief. Based on these findings, risk control measures were proposed across five dimensions: design and construction, operation and maintenance, standardized procedures, emergency systems, and technological innovation. The field application of two innovative technologies-stress-strain monitoring and laser ranging-was also discussed. This research provides practical guidance for risk prevention and control in pigging operations for oil and gas pipelines.

     

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