基于数值模拟的埋地掺氢天然气管道泄漏扩散规律

Research on leakage and dispersion patterns of buried hydrogen-blended natural gas pipelines based on numerical simulation

  • 摘要: 埋地掺氢天然气管道泄漏扩散受土壤介质、管道参数、泄漏参数及掺氢比例等多因素综合影响,现有研究多聚焦单一因素作用,对多因素耦合影响的探究较为匮乏。本文采用数值模拟方法,系统分析了土壤类型、土壤湿度、管道压力、泄漏孔径和掺氢比例等参数对泄漏扩散的单因素影响,并通过正交模拟试验与皮尔逊相关系数,揭示了多因素对不同空间监测点的影响主次。单因素分析表明,壤土中气体摩尔分数增长最快且最终浓度最高,其次是砂土,最后是黏土;0.74%~1.40% 的土壤湿度范围对气体扩散无显著影响;管道压力、泄漏孔径和掺氢比例均与监测点摩尔分数呈正相关,且影响随扩散距离增加而减弱。多因素耦合分析显示,泄漏点正上方和侧方受泄漏孔径影响最大,泄漏点正下方则以掺氢比例影响最为显著,呈现明显空间异质性。研究明确了埋地掺氢天然气管道泄漏扩散的关键控制因素及空间差异规律,为管道泄漏风险评估、监测点优化布设及安全防护措施制定提供了重要理论依据。

     

    Abstract: The leakage and dispersion of hydrogen-blended natural gas from buried pipelines are influenced by a complex interplay of soil media, pipeline and leakage parameters, and hydrogen blending ratios. While existing studies primarily examine individual factors, research into their coupling effects remains limited. In this study, a numerical simulation method was adopted to systematically analyze the individual effects of soil type, soil moisture, pipeline pressure, leakage aperture, and hydrogen blending ratio on gas dispersion. Orthogonal simulation tests and Pearson correlation coefficients were employed to determine the relative significance of these factors across various spatial monitoring points. The single-factor analysis indicated that the gas mole fraction increased most rapidly and reached the highest final concentration in loam, followed by sandy soil and clay. Soil moisture within the range of 0.74% to 1.4% exerted no significant effect on gas dispersion. While pipeline pressure, leakage aperture, and hydrogen blending ratio were all positively correlated with the mole fraction at monitoring points, these influences diminished as the gas dispersion distance increased. The multi-factor coupling analysis revealed that the area directly above and lateral to the leakage source was most significantly affected by the leakage aperture. Conversely, the area directly below the source was dominated by the hydrogen blending ratio, demonstrating pronounced spatial heterogeneity. This study identifies the critical controlling factors and spatial dispersion patterns of leakage from buried hydrogen-blended natural gas pipelines. These findings provide a theoretical foundation for risk assessment, the optimization of monitoring point layouts, and the development of safety protection measures.

     

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